SM
| Current League A2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| 2 | Czech Republic | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Spain | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 4 | Switzerland | 2 | -5 | 0 |
| Current League C1 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Turkey | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Faroe Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Luxembourg | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Lithuania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 50.56%. A win for Turkey had a probability of 26.56% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Turkey win was 1-2 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portugal | Draw | Turkey |
| 50.56% | 22.88% | 26.56% |
| Both teams to score 60.38% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.89% | 40.11% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.52% | 62.47% |
| Portugal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.96% | 16.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.61% | 45.39% |
| Turkey Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.92% | 28.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.25% | 63.75% |
| Score Analysis |
| Portugal | Draw | Turkey |
| 2-1 @ 9.58% 1-0 @ 8.24% 2-0 @ 7.54% 3-1 @ 5.85% 3-0 @ 4.6% 3-2 @ 3.71% 4-1 @ 2.68% 4-0 @ 2.11% 4-2 @ 1.7% 5-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 3.58% Total : 50.56% | 1-1 @ 10.46% 2-2 @ 6.08% 0-0 @ 4.5% 3-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.87% | 1-2 @ 6.65% 0-1 @ 5.72% 0-2 @ 3.63% 1-3 @ 2.81% 2-3 @ 2.58% 0-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 3.64% Total : 26.57% |
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