SM
| Current League A2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 2 | 4 | 4 |
| 2 | Czech Republic | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Spain | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 4 | Switzerland | 2 | -5 | 0 |
| Current League C4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bulgaria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Georgia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | North Macedonia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Gibraltar | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 58.67%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for North Macedonia had a probability of 19.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.72%) and 2-0 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a North Macedonia win it was 1-2 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Portugal in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Portugal.
| Result | ||
| Portugal | Draw | North Macedonia |
| 58.67% | 21.64% | 19.69% |
| Both teams to score 55.66% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.76% | 42.24% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.35% | 64.64% |
| Portugal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.91% | 14.09% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.3% | 41.7% |
| North Macedonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.79% | 35.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.03% | 71.96% |
| Score Analysis |
| Portugal | Draw | North Macedonia |
| 2-1 @ 9.94% 1-0 @ 9.72% 2-0 @ 9.53% 3-1 @ 6.5% 3-0 @ 6.22% 3-2 @ 3.39% 4-1 @ 3.18% 4-0 @ 3.05% 4-2 @ 1.66% 5-1 @ 1.25% 5-0 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.03% Total : 58.67% | 1-1 @ 10.14% 2-2 @ 5.19% 0-0 @ 4.96% 3-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.63% | 1-2 @ 5.3% 0-1 @ 5.18% 0-2 @ 2.7% 1-3 @ 1.84% 2-3 @ 1.81% 0-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.92% Total : 19.69% |
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