Ever since the Nations League came about, Switzerland's away day woes have not ceased, and Portugal can deepen the visitors' relegation fears in front of their own fans. The returns of Ronaldo and Neves to the first XI ought to help the Selecao begin with more bite than they did against Spain, and we do not expect Yakin's side to spring any surprises on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 64.28%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Switzerland had a probability of 13.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.6%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a Switzerland win it was 0-1 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.

Result
Portugal	Draw	Switzerland
64.28% ( 0.04)	22.24% ( 0)	13.47% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 41.02% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.95% (

-0.09)

55.04% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.69% (

-0.07)

76.31% (

0.07)

Portugal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.43% (

-0.02)

16.57% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.64% (

-0.03)

46.36% (

0.03)

Switzerland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.17% (

-0.13)

50.83% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.77% (

-0.09)

85.23% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Portugal 64.28%

Switzerland 13.47%

Draw 22.23%

Portugal	Draw	Switzerland
1-0 @ 15.14% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 13.6% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.15% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.52% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.66% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.32% ( 0) Other @ 3.33% Total : 64.28%	1-1 @ 10.24% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.46% Total : 22.23%	0-1 @ 5.7% ( -0) 1-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.38% Total : 13.47%