SM
| Current League B2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Russia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Israel | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Iceland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Albania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League B2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Russia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Israel | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Iceland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Albania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Russia win with a probability of 55.9%. A win for Iceland had a probability of 22.11% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Russia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Iceland win was 1-2 (5.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%).
| Result | ||
| Russia | Draw | Iceland |
55.9% ( 0.22) | 21.99% ( 0.2) | 22.11% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 58.26% ( -1.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.43% ( -1.44) | 40.57% ( 1.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.05% ( -1.5) | 62.95% ( 1.5) |
| Russia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.6% ( -0.42) | 14.4% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.69% ( -0.82) | 42.31% ( 0.81) |
| Iceland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.06% ( -1.17) | 31.94% ( 1.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.61% ( -1.36) | 68.39% ( 1.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Russia | Draw | Iceland |
| 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.91% ( 0.45)2-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.31)3-1 @ 6.37% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.12)3-2 @ 3.63% ( -0.16)4-1 @ 3.08% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 2.7% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.11)5-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.13% Total : 55.9% | 1-1 @ 10.17% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0.16)0-0 @ 4.6% ( 0.3)3-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.99% | 1-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 5.25% ( 0.18)0-2 @ 3% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.57% Total : 22.11% |
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