Belgium's squad is far from full strength, but Martinez can still call upon a hugely talented group of players, and we are expecting the home side to have too much quality for their opponents in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 64.4%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Burkina Faso had a probability of 13.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.3%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for a Burkina Faso win it was 0-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Belgium would win this match.

Result
Belgium	Draw	Burkina Faso
64.4%	21.91%	13.69%

Both teams to score 42.41%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.55%

53.45%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.02%

74.98%

Belgium Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.02%

15.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.71%

45.28%

Burkina Faso Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.47%

49.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.67%

84.33%

Score Analysis

Belgium 64.39%

Burkina Faso 13.69%

Draw 21.9%

Belgium	Draw	Burkina Faso
1-0 @ 14.51% 2-0 @ 13.3% 2-1 @ 9.35% 3-0 @ 8.13% 3-1 @ 5.72% 4-0 @ 3.73% 4-1 @ 2.62% 3-2 @ 2.01% 5-0 @ 1.37% 5-1 @ 0.96% 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 1.77% Total : 64.39%	1-1 @ 10.19% 0-0 @ 7.92% 2-2 @ 3.29% Other @ 0.51% Total : 21.9%	0-1 @ 5.56% 1-2 @ 3.58% 0-2 @ 1.95% Other @ 2.59% Total : 13.69%