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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Nov 16, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Millennium Stadium
BN

Wales
1 - 1
Belgium

Moore (32')
Morrell (34'), Moore (80')
FT(HT: 1-1)
De Bruyne (12')
Hazard (71'), Saelemaekers (75'), Dendoncker (82')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium win with a probability of 42.41%. A win for Wales had a probability of 33.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Belgium win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.85%) and 0-2 (6.33%). The likeliest Wales win was 2-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
WalesDrawBelgium
33.53%24.06%42.41%
Both teams to score 60.52%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.19%41.81%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.79%64.21%
Wales Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.59%24.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.16%58.84%
Belgium Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.07%19.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.92%52.08%
Score Analysis
    Wales 33.53%
    Belgium 42.41%
    Draw 24.06%
WalesDrawBelgium
2-1 @ 7.8%
1-0 @ 6.86%
2-0 @ 4.84%
3-1 @ 3.67%
3-2 @ 2.96%
3-0 @ 2.27%
4-1 @ 1.29%
4-2 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 33.53%
1-1 @ 11.06%
2-2 @ 6.29%
0-0 @ 4.87%
3-3 @ 1.59%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.06%
1-2 @ 8.92%
0-1 @ 7.85%
0-2 @ 6.33%
1-3 @ 4.8%
0-3 @ 3.4%
2-3 @ 3.38%
1-4 @ 1.94%
0-4 @ 1.37%
2-4 @ 1.36%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 42.41%

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