SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dungannon Swifts win with a probability of 57.32%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 20.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dungannon Swifts win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 1-2 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dungannon Swifts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Ballymena United |
57.32% ( 0.21) | 21.85% ( -0) | 20.82% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 56.81% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.41% ( -0.26) | 41.59% ( 0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.01% ( -0.26) | 63.99% ( 0.27) |
| Dungannon Swifts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.7% ( -0.02) | 14.3% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.9% ( -0.04) | 42.1% ( 0.05) |
| Ballymena United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.29% ( -0.34) | 33.71% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.63% ( -0.38) | 70.37% ( 0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Ballymena United |
| 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.37% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 9.12% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 6.43% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 3.13% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.88% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.22% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.05% Total : 57.32% | 1-1 @ 10.19% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.85% | 1-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.24% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.2% Total : 20.82% |
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