SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 41.55%. A win for Cliftonville had a probability of 34.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.29%) and 2-0 (5.96%). The likeliest Cliftonville win was 1-2 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Glenavon | Draw | Cliftonville |
41.55% ( -0.78) | 23.74% ( 0.09) | 34.71% ( 0.68) |
| Both teams to score 62.07% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.07% ( -0.27) | 39.93% ( 0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.71% ( -0.28) | 62.29% ( 0.28) |
| Glenavon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.47% ( -0.45) | 19.53% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.57% ( -0.74) | 51.42% ( 0.74) |
| Cliftonville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.13% ( 0.25) | 22.87% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.39% ( 0.37) | 56.61% ( -0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Glenavon | Draw | Cliftonville |
| 2-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 7.29% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 4.79% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.24% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.23% Total : 41.55% | 1-1 @ 10.76% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.47% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.73% | 1-2 @ 7.94% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 6.59% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 3.9% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.23% Total : 34.71% |
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