Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 50.41%. A win for Ballymena United had a probability of 25.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.58%) and 0-2 (8.79%). The likeliest Ballymena United win was 1-0 (7.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.
