SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 54.26%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 22.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Glenavon win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Linfield | Draw | Glenavon |
54.26% ( 0.81) | 23.46% ( -0.32) | 22.28% ( -0.49) |
| Both teams to score 53.55% ( 0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.07% ( 0.85) | 46.92% ( -0.85) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.82% ( 0.79) | 69.17% ( -0.79) |
| Linfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.8% ( 0.61) | 17.19% ( -0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.53% ( 1.07) | 47.47% ( -1.07) |
| Glenavon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.66% ( 0.02) | 35.33% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.91% ( 0.02) | 72.09% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Linfield | Draw | Glenavon |
| 1-0 @ 10.69% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 9.42% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.75% ( 0.14)3-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.08)4-1 @ 2.53% ( 0.11)4-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.11)4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.81% Total : 54.25% | 1-1 @ 11.12% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 6.08% ( -0.22)2-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.46% | 0-1 @ 6.32% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.97% Total : 22.28% |
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