SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 38.4%. A win for Linfield had a probability of 33.77% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Linfield win was 1-0 (10.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Linfield | Draw | Larne |
33.77% ( 0.03) | 27.84% ( -0.02) | 38.4% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 48.11% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.21% ( 0.1) | 57.79% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.48% ( 0.08) | 78.52% ( -0.08) |
| Linfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.92% ( 0.07) | 32.08% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.45% ( 0.08) | 68.55% ( -0.08) |
| Larne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.83% ( 0.05) | 29.17% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.88% ( 0.05) | 65.11% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Linfield | Draw | Larne |
| 1-0 @ 10.64% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.45% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.05% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.82% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.29% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.74% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.77% Total : 33.77% | 1-1 @ 13.1% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.36% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.83% | 0-1 @ 11.52% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.07% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.1% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.32% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.92% 2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 2.55% Total : 38.39% |
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