Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 38.4%. A win for Linfield had a probability of 33.77% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Linfield win was 1-0 (10.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.
0.03) 
-0.02) 
