Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 55.82%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 21.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 1-2 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ballymena United would win this match.
Result | ||
Ballymena United | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
55.82% ( -0.7) | 22.36% ( 0.15) | 21.82% ( 0.55) |
Both teams to score 56.58% ( 0.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.4% ( -0) | 42.6% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.99% ( -0) | 65% ( 0) |
Ballymena United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.88% ( -0.23) | 15.12% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.31% ( -0.44) | 43.68% ( 0.44) |
Dungannon Swifts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.66% ( 0.51) | 33.34% ( -0.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.03% ( 0.56) | 69.96% ( -0.56) |
Score Analysis |
Ballymena United | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 9.52% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 9% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 6.22% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.77% Total : 55.82% | 1-1 @ 10.46% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 5.04% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.36% | 1-2 @ 5.75% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 5.54% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.29% Total : 21.82% |
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