SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 66.93%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Portadown had a probability of 14.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.8%) and 0-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.69%), while for a Portadown win it was 2-1 (4.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Portadown | Draw | Ballymena United |
14.42% ( 0.14) | 18.65% ( 0.08) | 66.93% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 54.72% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62% ( -0.04) | 38% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.74% ( -0.05) | 60.27% ( 0.05) |
| Portadown Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.14% ( 0.16) | 38.86% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.41% ( 0.15) | 75.6% ( -0.15) |
| Ballymena United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.51% ( -0.06) | 10.5% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.85% ( -0.15) | 34.16% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portadown | Draw | Ballymena United |
| 2-1 @ 4.11% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.89% Total : 14.42% | 1-1 @ 8.69% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.08% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 18.65% | 0-2 @ 10.36% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.8% ( 0.01)0-1 @ 9.19% ( -0)0-3 @ 7.79% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 7.36% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 4.39% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 4.15% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.48% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.98% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.96% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.87% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.6% Total : 66.93% |
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