SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Crusaders had a probability of 34.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Crusaders win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cliftonville | Draw | Crusaders |
40.13% ( -4.64) | 25.36% ( 0.73) | 34.51% ( 3.91) |
| Both teams to score 56.18% ( -1.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.43% ( -1.99) | 47.57% ( 1.99) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.23% ( -1.87) | 69.77% ( 1.87) |
| Cliftonville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.51% ( -3.04) | 23.49% ( 3.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.49% ( -4.61) | 57.51% ( 4.6) |
| Crusaders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.43% ( 1.49) | 26.57% ( -1.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.21% ( 1.93) | 61.79% ( -1.94) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cliftonville | Draw | Crusaders |
| 1-0 @ 9.04% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 8.68% ( -0.51)2-0 @ 6.55% ( -0.68)3-1 @ 4.19% ( -0.67)3-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.66)3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.31)4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.41)4-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.37)4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.22)Other @ 2.05% Total : 40.13% | 1-1 @ 11.98% ( 0.41) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.5)2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.36% | 0-1 @ 8.27% ( 0.98) 1-2 @ 7.94% ( 0.59)0-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.85)1-3 @ 3.51% ( 0.39)2-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.46)1-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.17)Other @ 3.19% Total : 34.51% |
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