NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 4

Aug 27, 2022 at 3pm UK

Solitude

Cliftonville
4 - 2
Dungannon

Hale (33'), Gallagher (45+3'), Ruddy (50' og.), Curran (72')
Addis (20'), (44'), Doherty (48')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Knowles (21' pen.), McCready (49')
McGinty (66')

Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Cliftonville and Dungannon Swifts.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 64.83%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 15.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.5%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 0-1 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cliftonville would win this match.

Result
Cliftonville	Draw	Dungannon Swifts
64.83% ( -0.07)	20.04% ( -0.05)	15.12% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 51.63% (

0.49)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.05% (

0.49)

42.95% (

-0.49)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.65% (

0.48)

65.35% (

-0.48)

Cliftonville Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.51% (

0.13)

12.49% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.54% (

0.26)

38.46% (

-0.26)

Dungannon Swifts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.99% (

0.47)

41% (

-0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.44% (

0.42)

77.56% (

-0.42)

Score Analysis

Cliftonville 64.83%

Dungannon Swifts 15.12%

Draw 20.04%

Cliftonville	Draw	Dungannon Swifts
2-0 @ 11.08% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 10.65% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.69% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 6.85% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 4% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.56% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 1.66% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.59% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.48% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.34% Total : 64.83%	1-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.12% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 4.4% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 20.04%	0-1 @ 4.56% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.73% Total : 15.12%