SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Crusaders | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | Cliftonville | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 7 | Glenavon | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Newry City AFC | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 11 | Dungannon Swifts | 3 | -7 | 0 |
| 12 | Portadown | 4 | -10 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 64.83%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 15.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.5%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 0-1 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cliftonville would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cliftonville | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
64.83% ( -0.07) | 20.04% ( -0.05) | 15.12% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 51.63% ( 0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.05% ( 0.49) | 42.95% ( -0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.65% ( 0.48) | 65.35% ( -0.48) |
| Cliftonville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.51% ( 0.13) | 12.49% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.54% ( 0.26) | 38.46% ( -0.26) |
| Dungannon Swifts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.99% ( 0.47) | 41% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.44% ( 0.42) | 77.56% ( -0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cliftonville | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
| 2-0 @ 11.08% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 10.65% ( -0.18)2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 7.69% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 6.85% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 4% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.56% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.06)5-0 @ 1.66% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.59% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 1.48% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.34% Total : 64.83% | 1-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.12% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 4.4% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.11% Total : 20.04% | 0-1 @ 4.56% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.73% Total : 15.12% |
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