SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Newry City AFC | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 10 | Cliftonville | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 11 | Dungannon Swifts | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Coleraine | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Carrick Rangers | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Ballymena United | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 62.57%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 15.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.59%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 0-1 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cliftonville would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cliftonville | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
62.57% ( -0.95) | 21.52% ( 0.45) | 15.91% ( 0.5) |
| Both teams to score 48.69% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.17% ( -0.94) | 47.83% ( 0.94) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.99% ( -0.87) | 70.01% ( 0.87) |
| Cliftonville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.3% ( -0.6) | 14.7% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.12% ( -1.17) | 42.88% ( 1.17) |
| Carrick Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.07% ( 0.1) | 42.92% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.77% ( 0.09) | 79.23% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cliftonville | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
| 1-0 @ 12.09% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 11.59% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 7.41% ( -0.19)3-1 @ 6.27% ( -0.14)4-0 @ 3.55% ( -0.17)4-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.05)5-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.39% Total : 62.56% | 1-1 @ 10.23% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 6.31% ( 0.24)2-2 @ 4.15% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.83% Total : 21.51% | 0-1 @ 5.34% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.61% Total : 15.91% |
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