SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 55.6%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 21.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.84%) and 0-2 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-0 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Crusaders |
21.23% ( -0.51) | 23.17% ( 0.12) | 55.6% ( 0.38) |
| Both teams to score 53.06% ( -1.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.13% ( -1.15) | 46.87% ( 1.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.88% ( -1.08) | 69.12% ( 1.08) |
| Carrick Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.69% ( -1.15) | 36.3% ( 1.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.91% ( -1.18) | 73.09% ( 1.17) |
| Crusaders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.3% ( -0.28) | 16.69% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.42% ( -0.5) | 46.58% ( 0.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Carrick Rangers | Draw | Crusaders |
| 1-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 5.57% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 1.88% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.8% Total : 21.23% | 1-1 @ 10.99% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.06% ( 0.29)2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.16)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.16% | 0-1 @ 10.85% ( 0.42) 1-2 @ 9.84% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 9.71% ( 0.29)1-3 @ 5.87% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 5.79% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.13)1-4 @ 2.63% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 2.59% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.07)1-5 @ 0.94% ( -0.03)0-5 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 2.14% Total : 55.6% |
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