SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Newry City AFC | 6 | -2 | 6 |
| 9 | Glenavon | 5 | -3 | 5 |
| 10 | Ballymena United | 5 | -6 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Coleraine | 5 | 9 | 12 |
| 4 | Cliftonville | 5 | 3 | 12 |
| 5 | Linfield | 5 | 8 | 9 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 51.81%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 23.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.64%) and 0-2 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Glenavon win it was 1-0 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cliftonville in this match.
| Result | ||
| Glenavon | Draw | Cliftonville |
23.87% ( -1.41) | 24.31% ( -0.63) | 51.81% ( 2.04) |
| Both teams to score 52.81% ( 0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.15% ( 1.36) | 48.85% ( -1.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.05% ( 1.22) | 70.94% ( -1.22) |
| Glenavon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.06% ( -0.48) | 34.94% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.32% ( -0.51) | 71.68% ( 0.51) |
| Cliftonville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.16% ( 1.35) | 18.83% ( -1.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.72% ( 2.21) | 50.28% ( -2.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Glenavon | Draw | Cliftonville |
| 1-0 @ 6.92% ( -0.49) 2-1 @ 6.07% ( -0.24)2-0 @ 3.64% ( -0.31)3-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.13)Other @ 2.06% Total : 23.87% | 1-1 @ 11.55% ( -0.3) 0-0 @ 6.58% ( -0.38)2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.31% | 0-1 @ 10.98% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 9.64% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 9.17% ( 0.27)1-3 @ 5.37% ( 0.31)0-3 @ 5.1% ( 0.35)2-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.13)1-4 @ 2.24% ( 0.22)0-4 @ 2.13% ( 0.23)2-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.1)Other @ 3.17% Total : 51.81% |
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