SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 74.89%. A draw had a probability of 15.3% and a win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 9.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.52%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.16%), while for a Newry City AFC win it was 1-2 (2.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cliftonville would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cliftonville | Draw | Newry City AFC |
74.89% ( -0.45) | 15.33% ( 0.18) | 9.78% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 51.61% ( 0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.58% ( -0.02) | 34.42% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.65% ( -0.03) | 56.34% ( 0.03) |
| Cliftonville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.25% ( -0.1) | 7.75% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.42% ( -0.25) | 27.58% ( 0.26) |
| Newry City AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.95% ( 0.52) | 44.05% ( -0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.83% ( 0.42) | 80.17% ( -0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cliftonville | Draw | Newry City AFC |
| 2-0 @ 11.16% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 9.52% ( -0.13)2-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.05)1-0 @ 8.73% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 7.8% ( 0)4-0 @ 6.09% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 4.99% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 3.11% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 2.55% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.04)6-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.08% Total : 74.89% | 1-1 @ 7.16% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 3.42% ( 0)Other @ 1% Total : 15.33% | 1-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 2.8% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.87% Total : 9.78% |
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