SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 53.15%. A win for Coleraine had a probability of 23.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Coleraine win was 0-1 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Larne | Draw | Coleraine |
53.15% ( 1.14) | 23.32% ( -0.52) | 23.53% ( -0.62) |
| Both teams to score 55.59% ( 0.99) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.03% ( 1.66) | 44.96% ( -1.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.68% ( 1.58) | 67.32% ( -1.58) |
| Larne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.12% ( 1.04) | 16.88% ( -1.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.08% ( 1.81) | 46.92% ( -1.81) |
| Coleraine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.88% ( 0.37) | 33.11% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.29% ( 0.41) | 69.71% ( -0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Larne | Draw | Coleraine |
| 1-0 @ 9.95% ( -0.37) 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 8.85% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.8% ( 0.24)3-0 @ 5.25% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.16)4-1 @ 2.58% ( 0.19)4-0 @ 2.33% ( 0.15)4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.12)5-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.1)Other @ 3.08% Total : 53.15% | 1-1 @ 10.99% ( -0.29) 0-0 @ 5.59% ( -0.41)2-2 @ 5.4% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.32% | 0-1 @ 6.18% ( -0.39) 1-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.18)1-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.38% Total : 23.53% |
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