SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 51.91%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 25.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Coleraine | Draw | Glenavon |
51.91% ( 0.53) | 22.74% ( -0.06) | 25.35% ( -0.47) |
| Both teams to score 59.64% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.44% ( -0.14) | 40.55% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.06% ( -0.15) | 62.93% ( 0.14) |
| Coleraine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.27% ( 0.13) | 15.72% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.18% ( 0.25) | 44.81% ( -0.25) |
| Glenavon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.77% ( -0.43) | 29.23% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.81% ( -0.53) | 65.18% ( 0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Coleraine | Draw | Glenavon |
| 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 5.97% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.76% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.24% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.7% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.66% Total : 51.91% | 1-1 @ 10.45% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 4.6% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.73% | 1-2 @ 6.43% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 5.65% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.29% Total : 25.35% |
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