SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 41.59%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 33.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 1-0 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coleraine would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Coleraine | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
41.59% ( 0.28) | 25.1% ( 0.06) | 33.3% ( -0.35) |
| Both teams to score 56.76% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.32% ( -0.38) | 46.68% ( 0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.05% ( -0.35) | 68.95% ( 0.35) |
| Coleraine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.62% ( -0.03) | 22.37% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.13% ( -0.04) | 55.87% ( 0.04) |
| Carrick Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.12% ( -0.39) | 26.88% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.81% ( -0.52) | 62.19% ( 0.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Coleraine | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
| 1-0 @ 9% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.74% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 4.42% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.36% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.66% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.3% Total : 41.59% | 1-1 @ 11.83% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.1% | 0-1 @ 7.9% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.77% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.1% Total : 33.3% |
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