SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 61.27%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 16.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.18%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 0-1 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coleraine would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Coleraine | Draw | Ballymena United |
61.27% ( -0.23) | 21.84% ( -0.08) | 16.9% ( 0.32) |
| Both teams to score 49.77% ( 0.89) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.53% ( 0.86) | 47.47% ( -0.85) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.32% ( 0.79) | 69.68% ( -0.78) |
| Coleraine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85% ( 0.21) | 15% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.55% ( 0.39) | 43.45% ( -0.39) |
| Ballymena United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.55% ( 0.91) | 41.45% ( -0.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.05% ( 0.79) | 77.96% ( -0.79) |
| Score Analysis |
| Coleraine | Draw | Ballymena United |
| 1-0 @ 11.79% ( -0.34) 2-0 @ 11.18% ( -0.24)2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 7.08% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 6.23% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.1)4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.06)5-0 @ 1.27% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.37% Total : 61.25% | 1-1 @ 10.38% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.22)2-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.9% Total : 21.83% | 0-1 @ 5.47% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 4.57% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.07)Other @ 1.82% Total : 16.9% |
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