SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 51.18%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Coleraine had a probability of 23.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for a Coleraine win it was 0-1 (7.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Larne | Draw | Coleraine |
51.18% ( 0.2) | 25.48% ( 0.05) | 23.33% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 48.68% ( -0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46% ( -0.4) | 53.99% ( 0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.56% ( -0.34) | 75.43% ( 0.33) |
| Larne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.88% ( -0.08) | 21.12% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.04% ( -0.12) | 53.96% ( 0.12) |
| Coleraine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.71% ( -0.46) | 38.28% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.96% ( -0.44) | 75.04% ( 0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Larne | Draw | Coleraine |
| 1-0 @ 12.57% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 9.78% ( 0.11)2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.89% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.41% Total : 51.18% | 1-1 @ 12.07% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.09% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.82% Total : 25.48% | 0-1 @ 7.76% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 3.73% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.56% Total : 23.33% |
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