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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 67.91%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Portadown had a probability of 12.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.36%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.12%), while for a Portadown win it was 1-0 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Portadown | Draw | Glenavon |
12.92% ( -0.26) | 19.17% ( -0.13) | 67.91% ( 0.39) |
| Both teams to score 48.58% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.07% ( -0.02) | 43.93% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.69% ( -0.01) | 66.31% ( 0.01) |
| Portadown Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.16% ( -0.42) | 44.84% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.2% ( -0.34) | 80.8% ( 0.33) |
| Glenavon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.08% ( 0.1) | 11.92% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.73% ( 0.22) | 37.27% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portadown | Draw | Glenavon |
| 1-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 3.66% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.24% Total : 12.92% | 1-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.34% ( 0)2-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.82% Total : 19.17% | 0-2 @ 12.08% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 11.36% ( 0.05)1-2 @ 9.7% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 8.57% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 6.88% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 4.56% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 3.66% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.03)0-5 @ 1.94% ( 0.04)1-5 @ 1.56% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.38% Total : 67.89% |
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