SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portadown win with a probability of 38.86%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 34.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portadown win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 1-0 (9.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Portadown |
34.81% ( 1.3) | 26.32% ( -0.18) | 38.86% ( -1.12) |
| Both teams to score 53% ( 0.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.32% ( 0.95) | 51.68% ( -0.95) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.54% ( 0.82) | 73.46% ( -0.82) |
| Dungannon Swifts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.63% ( 1.29) | 28.37% ( -1.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.89% ( 1.59) | 64.11% ( -1.58) |
| Portadown Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.99% ( -0.17) | 26.01% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.96% ( -0.23) | 61.04% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dungannon Swifts | Draw | Portadown |
| 1-0 @ 9.3% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.23)2-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 3.31% ( 0.21)3-0 @ 2.46% ( 0.17)3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.13)4-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.72% Total : 34.81% | 1-1 @ 12.51% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 7.38% ( -0.28)2-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 1% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.31% | 0-1 @ 9.94% ( -0.42) 1-2 @ 8.43% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 6.69% ( -0.32)1-3 @ 3.78% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 3% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.35% Total : 38.86% |
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