SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portadown win with a probability of 41.62%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portadown win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 0-1 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Portadown | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
41.62% ( 0.13) | 25.16% ( -0.07) | 33.22% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 56.54% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.04% ( 0.27) | 46.96% ( -0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.79% ( 0.25) | 69.2% ( -0.26) |
| Portadown Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.52% ( 0.18) | 22.48% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.96% ( 0.27) | 56.04% ( -0.27) |
| Dungannon Swifts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.94% ( 0.09) | 27.06% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.56% ( 0.12) | 62.43% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portadown | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
| 1-0 @ 9.08% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.78% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.41% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.64% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.27% Total : 41.62% | 1-1 @ 11.86% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.08% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.15% | 0-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 7.76% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.2% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.38% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.05% Total : 33.22% |
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