Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 46.75%. A win for Crusaders had a probability of 28.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Crusaders win was 0-1 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
