SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 39.46%. A win for Coleraine had a probability of 36.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.2%) and 0-2 (5.67%). The likeliest Coleraine win was 2-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Coleraine | Draw | Glenavon |
36.65% ( -6) | 23.9% ( -0.02) | 39.46% ( 6.02) |
| Both teams to score 61.81% ( 0.79) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.59% ( 0.73) | 40.41% ( -0.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.21% ( 0.75) | 62.79% ( -0.75) |
| Coleraine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.93% ( -2.52) | 22.07% ( 2.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.58% ( -3.96) | 55.42% ( 3.96) |
| Glenavon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.31% ( 3.47) | 20.69% ( -3.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.71% ( 5.19) | 53.29% ( -5.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Coleraine | Draw | Glenavon |
| 2-1 @ 8.21% ( -0.72) 1-0 @ 6.9% ( -0.81)2-0 @ 5.21% ( -1.08)3-1 @ 4.14% ( -0.73)3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.2)3-0 @ 2.63% ( -0.8)4-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.42)4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.18)4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.41)Other @ 2.52% Total : 36.65% | 1-1 @ 10.87% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 6.47% ( 0.12)0-0 @ 4.57% ( -0.16)3-3 @ 1.71% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.9% | 1-2 @ 8.56% ( 0.79) 0-1 @ 7.2% ( 0.49)0-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.9)1-3 @ 4.5% ( 0.81)2-3 @ 3.4% ( 0.39)0-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.72)1-4 @ 1.77% ( 0.46)2-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.27)0-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.37)Other @ 2.87% Total : 39.46% |
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