SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 50.3%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Crusaders had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Crusaders win it was 1-0 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Linfield in this match.
| Result | ||
| Crusaders | Draw | Linfield |
24.7% ( 1.01) | 25% ( 0.29) | 50.3% ( -1.3) |
| Both teams to score 51.55% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.07% ( -0.28) | 50.93% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.2% ( -0.24) | 72.8% ( 0.24) |
| Crusaders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.65% ( 0.75) | 35.35% ( -0.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.89% ( 0.77) | 72.11% ( -0.77) |
| Linfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.74% ( -0.64) | 20.26% ( 0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.4% ( -1.03) | 52.6% ( 1.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crusaders | Draw | Linfield |
| 1-0 @ 7.45% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 6.18% ( 0.2)2-0 @ 3.87% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 2.14% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 1.34% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.01% Total : 24.7% | 1-1 @ 11.88% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.99% | 0-1 @ 11.43% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 9.49% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 9.13% ( -0.27)1-3 @ 5.05% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 4.86% ( -0.24)2-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.02% ( -0.1)0-4 @ 1.94% ( -0.14)2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.7% Total : 50.3% |
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