SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 44.89%. A win for Linfield had a probability of 28.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Linfield win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crusaders | Draw | Linfield |
44.89% ( 1.38) | 26.27% ( -0.58) | 28.85% ( -0.79) |
| Both teams to score 50.97% ( 1.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.72% ( 1.89) | 53.28% ( -1.89) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.17% ( 1.58) | 74.83% ( -1.58) |
| Crusaders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.35% ( 1.51) | 23.65% ( -1.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.26% ( 2.13) | 57.74% ( -2.13) |
| Linfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.75% ( 0.39) | 33.25% ( -0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.14% ( 0.43) | 69.86% ( -0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crusaders | Draw | Linfield |
| 1-0 @ 11.33% ( -0.35) 2-1 @ 9% ( 0.22)2-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 4.33% ( 0.29)3-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.22)3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.18)4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.17)4-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.14)Other @ 2.76% Total : 44.88% | 1-1 @ 12.48% ( -0.24) 0-0 @ 7.86% ( -0.6)2-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.17)Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.26% | 0-1 @ 8.66% ( -0.56) 1-2 @ 6.87% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.26)1-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.46% Total : 28.85% |
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