SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for Crusaders had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Crusaders win was 0-1 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Linfield | Draw | Crusaders |
38.57% ( 0.02) | 26.41% ( -0.03) | 35.01% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 52.73% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.96% ( 0.14) | 52.04% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.23% ( 0.12) | 73.77% ( -0.11) |
| Linfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.66% ( 0.07) | 26.34% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.52% ( 0.09) | 61.48% ( -0.09) |
| Crusaders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.58% ( 0.07) | 28.42% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.83% ( 0.09) | 64.17% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Linfield | Draw | Crusaders |
| 1-0 @ 9.99% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.66% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.73% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.96% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 2.28% Total : 38.57% | 1-1 @ 12.56% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.48% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.41% | 0-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.9% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.32% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.49% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.71% Total : 35.01% |
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