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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 2
Apr 11, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Mourneview Park

Glenavon
3 - 2
Ballymena

Fitzpatrick (20', 48'), Malone (74' pen.)
Rogers (52'), Baird (61')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Place (53' pen.), Farquhar (90+3')
Place (43')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Glenavon and Ballymena United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Glenavon 1-1 Dungannon
Friday, April 7 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Portadown 1-0 Ballymena
Friday, April 7 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 51.99%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 23.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.54%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 0-1 (6.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glenavon would win this match.

Result
GlenavonDrawBallymena United
51.99% (-0.012 -0.01) 24.29% (0.0040000000000013 0) 23.71% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Both teams to score 52.66% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.05% (-0.012 -0.01)48.94% (0.012 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.96% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)71.03% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.19% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)18.8% (0.0089999999999968 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.77% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)50.22% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.86%35.14% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.11% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)71.89%
Score Analysis
    Glenavon 51.99%
    Ballymena United 23.71%
    Draw 24.29%
GlenavonDrawBallymena United
1-0 @ 11.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.65% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 9.23% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 5.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.81% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.25% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-0 @ 2.15% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.18%
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 51.99%
1-1 @ 11.54%
0-0 @ 6.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.05% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.29%
0-1 @ 6.91% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-2 @ 6.04% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 3.61% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.11%
2-3 @ 1.76% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.26% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 23.71%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Glenavon 1-1 Dungannon
Friday, April 7 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Ballymena 0-1 Glenavon
Monday, April 3 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glenavon 2-1 Coleraine
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glentoran 0-2 Glenavon
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Newry City AFC 0-1 Glenavon
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glentoran 0-0 Glenavon
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Portadown 1-0 Ballymena
Friday, April 7 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Ballymena 0-1 Glenavon
Monday, April 3 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Larne 1-0 Ballymena
Friday, March 17 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glentoran 1-0 Ballymena
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Coleraine 3-1 Ballymena
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Ballymena 0-0 Crusaders
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership


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