SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 43.81%. A win for Ballymena United had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Ballymena United win was 2-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glenavon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ballymena United | Draw | Glenavon |
31.88% ( 0.99) | 24.31% ( -0.12) | 43.81% ( -0.88) |
| Both teams to score 58.99% ( 0.89) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.46% ( 0.96) | 43.54% ( -0.96) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.06% ( 0.94) | 65.93% ( -0.94) |
| Ballymena United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.76% ( 1.1) | 26.24% ( -1.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.66% ( 1.45) | 61.34% ( -1.46) |
| Glenavon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.96% ( 0.01) | 20.03% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.76% ( 0.02) | 52.24% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ballymena United | Draw | Glenavon |
| 2-1 @ 7.56% ( 0.16) 1-0 @ 7.03% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 3.37% ( 0.17)3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.14)3-0 @ 2.1% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.09)4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.36% Total : 31.88% | 1-1 @ 11.3% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.13)0-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.23)3-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.3% | 1-2 @ 9.09% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.36)0-2 @ 6.79% ( -0.29)1-3 @ 4.87% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 1.96% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.97% Total : 43.81% |
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