SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 50.6%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 25.44% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 0-1 (6.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Glenavon | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
50.6% ( -0.28) | 23.97% ( 0.14) | 25.44% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 55.56% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.01% ( -0.48) | 45.99% ( 0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.7% ( -0.46) | 68.29% ( 0.46) |
| Glenavon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.78% ( -0.29) | 18.22% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.76% ( -0.5) | 49.24% ( 0.5) |
| Dungannon Swifts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.94% ( -0.14) | 32.06% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.47% ( -0.16) | 68.53% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Glenavon | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
| 1-0 @ 9.95% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.47% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 4.81% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.47% Total : 50.6% | 1-1 @ 11.31% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.96% | 0-1 @ 6.64% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.78% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.44% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.63% Total : 25.44% |
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