SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 74.28%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 8.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.37%) and 3-0 (10.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.94%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 0-1 (3.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Larne would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Larne | Draw | Ballymena United |
74.28% ( 0.16) | 16.79% ( -0.14) | 8.92% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 42.44% ( 0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.58% ( 0.52) | 44.41% ( -0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.21% ( 0.5) | 66.78% ( -0.5) |
| Larne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.63% ( 0.18) | 10.37% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.13% ( 0.4) | 33.86% ( -0.41) |
| Ballymena United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.34% ( 0.28) | 52.65% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.57% ( 0.18) | 86.42% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Larne | Draw | Ballymena United |
| 2-0 @ 14.02% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 12.37% ( -0.18)3-0 @ 10.59% 2-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.8% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 6% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 3.85% ( 0.06)5-0 @ 2.72% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 1.75% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.03)6-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.75% Total : 74.28% | 1-1 @ 7.94% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 5.46% ( -0.13)2-2 @ 2.89% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.51% Total : 16.79% | 0-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.75% Total : 8.92% |
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