SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Larne | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Ballymena United | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Carrick Rangers | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Dungannon Swifts | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Glenavon | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Linfield | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 39.52%. A win for Ballymena United had a probability of 34.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Ballymena United win was 1-0 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ballymena United | Draw | Glenavon |
34.81% ( -0.97) | 25.67% ( 0.22) | 39.52% ( 0.74) |
| Both teams to score 55.17% ( -0.91) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.11% ( -1.11) | 48.89% ( 1.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.01% ( -1.02) | 70.98% ( 1.02) |
| Ballymena United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.97% ( -1.1) | 27.03% ( 1.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.61% ( -1.46) | 62.38% ( 1.46) |
| Glenavon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.61% ( -0.11) | 24.39% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.19% ( -0.16) | 58.81% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ballymena United | Draw | Glenavon |
| 1-0 @ 8.63% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.16)2-0 @ 5.64% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 3.47% ( -0.18)3-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.1)Other @ 3.06% Total : 34.81% | 1-1 @ 12.16% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.3)2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.66% | 0-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.39) 1-2 @ 8.59% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 6.56% ( 0.25)1-3 @ 4.04% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.09% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 1.42% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.86% Total : 39.52% |
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