Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 39.52%. A win for Ballymena United had a probability of 34.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Ballymena United win was 1-0 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Ballymena United	Draw	Glenavon
34.81% ( -0.97)	25.67% ( 0.22)	39.52% ( 0.74)

Both teams to score 55.17% (

-0.91)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.11% (

-1.11)

48.89% (

1.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.01% (

-1.02)

70.98% (

1.02)

Ballymena United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.97% (

-1.1)

27.03% (

1.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.61% (

-1.46)

62.38% (

1.46)

Glenavon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.61% (

-0.11)

24.39% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.19% (

-0.16)

58.81% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Ballymena United 34.81%

Glenavon 39.52%

Draw 25.66%

Ballymena United	Draw	Glenavon
1-0 @ 8.63% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 5.64% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 3.47% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.1) Other @ 3.06% Total : 34.81%	1-1 @ 12.16% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.66%	0-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.39) 1-2 @ 8.59% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 6.56% ( 0.25) 1-3 @ 4.04% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.09% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.42% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.86% Total : 39.52%