SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 56.47%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 20.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.9%) and 0-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Glenavon win it was 1-0 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Glenavon | Draw | Glentoran |
20.95% ( 0.02) | 22.58% ( 0.01) | 56.47% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 54.54% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.3% ( -0.04) | 44.7% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.94% ( -0.03) | 67.06% ( 0.03) |
| Glenavon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.64% ( -0) | 35.35% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.88% ( -0) | 72.11% |
| Glentoran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.37% ( -0.02) | 15.63% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.36% ( -0.04) | 44.64% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Glenavon | Draw | Glentoran |
| 1-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 5.54% ( 0)2-0 @ 2.99% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.92% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.78% 3-0 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 1.93% Total : 20.95% | 1-1 @ 10.66% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.58% | 0-1 @ 10.25% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.9% ( -0)0-2 @ 9.52% ( -0)1-3 @ 6.12% ( -0)0-3 @ 5.89% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.18% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.84% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.73% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.48% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.05% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 2.49% Total : 56.46% |
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