SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 60.87%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 18.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.6%) and 1-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%), while for a Glenavon win it was 1-2 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Glentoran | Draw | Glenavon |
60.87% ( -0.18) | 20.77% ( 0.05) | 18.35% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 56.22% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.66% ( 0) | 40.34% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.28% ( 0) | 62.71% ( -0.01) |
| Glentoran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.18% ( -0.05) | 12.82% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.85% ( -0.1) | 39.15% ( 0.1) |
| Glenavon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.49% ( 0.14) | 35.51% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.72% ( 0.15) | 72.27% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Glentoran | Draw | Glenavon |
| 2-1 @ 9.94% 2-0 @ 9.6% ( -0.04)1-0 @ 9.35% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.81% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.58% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.38% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.81% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.55% Total : 60.87% | 1-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.55% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.77% | 1-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 4.71% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.44% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.68% Total : 18.35% |
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