SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 42.67%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 32.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 1-0 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Glentoran in this match.
| Result | ||
| Glenavon | Draw | Glentoran |
32.11% ( -0.35) | 25.22% ( 0.12) | 42.67% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 55.93% ( -0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.42% ( -0.66) | 47.58% ( 0.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.22% ( -0.62) | 69.78% ( 0.61) |
| Glenavon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.93% ( -0.55) | 28.07% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.27% ( -0.7) | 63.73% ( 0.7) |
| Glentoran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.75% ( -0.18) | 22.25% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.32% ( -0.27) | 55.68% ( 0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Glenavon | Draw | Glentoran |
| 1-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 2.14% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.79% Total : 32.11% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.22% | 0-1 @ 9.38% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 8.96% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 7.05% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 4.49% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.31% Total : 42.67% |
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