SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 75.21%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 8.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.59%) and 3-0 (10.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.51%), while for a Glenavon win it was 0-1 (3.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glentoran would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Glentoran | Draw | Glenavon |
75.21% ( 0.23) | 15.79% ( -0.13) | 8.99% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 46.26% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.49% ( 0.33) | 39.51% ( -0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.15% ( 0.34) | 61.85% ( -0.34) |
| Glentoran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.1% ( 0.13) | 8.9% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.58% ( 0.32) | 30.42% ( -0.32) |
| Glenavon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.77% ( 0.02) | 49.22% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 15.89% ( 0.01) | 84.11% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Glentoran | Draw | Glenavon |
| 2-0 @ 12.81% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 10.59% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 10.33% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 7.33% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 4.43% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.81% Total : 75.19% | 1-1 @ 7.51% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 3.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.68% Total : 15.79% | 0-1 @ 3.1% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.13% Total : 8.99% |
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