Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 41.95%. A win for Larne had a probability of 30.51% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Larne win was 0-1 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cliftonville would win this match.

Result
Cliftonville	Draw	Larne
41.95% ( 0.18)	27.54% ( -0.03)	30.51% ( -0.15)

Both teams to score 48.05% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.58% (

0.07)

57.42% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.77% (

0.05)

78.23% (

-0.05)

Cliftonville Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73% (

0.13)

27% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.65% (

0.17)

62.36% (

-0.16)

Larne Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.82% (

-0.07)

34.18% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.13% (

-0.08)

70.87% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Cliftonville 41.95%

Larne 30.51%

Draw 27.54%

Cliftonville	Draw	Larne
1-0 @ 12.08% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.71% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.98% Total : 41.95%	1-1 @ 12.97% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.23% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( 0) Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.54%	0-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.96% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.63% ( -0) Other @ 2.3% Total : 30.51%