Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 41.95%. A win for Larne had a probability of 30.51% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Larne win was 0-1 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cliftonville would win this match.
0.18) 
-0.03) 
