Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 51.63%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Larne had a probability of 22.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for a Larne win it was 0-1 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glentoran would win this match.
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