SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 45.56%. A win for Glentoran had a probability of 28.48% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Glentoran win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crusaders | Draw | Glentoran |
45.56% ( -0.62) | 25.96% ( 0.44) | 28.48% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 51.7% ( -1.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.77% ( -1.67) | 52.22% ( 1.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.07% ( -1.46) | 73.93% ( 1.46) |
| Crusaders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.13% ( -0.99) | 22.87% ( 0.99) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.38% ( -1.49) | 56.62% ( 1.49) |
| Glentoran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.03% ( -0.73) | 32.97% ( 0.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.45% ( -0.82) | 69.55% ( 0.82) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crusaders | Draw | Glentoran |
| 1-0 @ 11.12% ( 0.41) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 4.48% ( -0.19)3-0 @ 4.04% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0.16)4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.07% Total : 45.56% | 1-1 @ 12.34% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.49)2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.17)3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.38) 1-2 @ 6.85% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.51% Total : 28.48% |
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