SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Linfield had a probability of 33.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Linfield win was 0-1 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Glentoran | Draw | Linfield |
40.01% ( 0.16) | 26.85% ( 0.01) | 33.13% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 50.97% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.89% ( -0.07) | 54.1% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.47% ( -0.05) | 75.53% ( 0.06) |
| Glentoran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.49% ( 0.06) | 26.51% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.3% ( 0.07) | 61.7% ( -0.07) |
| Linfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.36% ( -0.14) | 30.64% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.12% ( -0.17) | 66.88% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Glentoran | Draw | Linfield |
| 1-0 @ 10.78% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.47% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.18% Total : 40.01% | 1-1 @ 12.75% 0-0 @ 8.12% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.84% | 0-1 @ 9.61% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.55% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.11% Total : 33.13% |
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