SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 86.77%. A draw had a probability of 9.8% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 3.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (14.26%) and 4-0 (10.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.56%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 0-1 (1.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Larne | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
86.77% ( 0.05) | 9.77% ( -0.03) | 3.46% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 34.26% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.19% ( 0.04) | 34.81% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.22% ( 0.04) | 56.78% ( -0.04) |
| Larne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.54% ( 0.02) | 5.46% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 78.65% ( 0.05) | 21.35% ( -0.05) |
| Carrick Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 36.24% ( -0.07) | 63.76% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 7.55% ( -0.03) | 92.46% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Larne | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
| 2-0 @ 14.72% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 14.26% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 10.36% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 10.12% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 6.63% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.42% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 4.67% ( -0)6-0 @ 2.92% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 2.71% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 1.31% ( 0)7-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 2.91% Total : 86.76% | 1-1 @ 4.56% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.24% Total : 9.77% | 0-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.87% Total : 3.46% |
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