SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 56.99%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Glenavon had a probability of 19.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.32%) and 1-2 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Glenavon win it was 1-0 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Glenavon | Draw | Linfield |
19.87% ( 0.34) | 23.14% ( 0.16) | 56.99% ( -0.49) |
| Both teams to score 51.09% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.54% ( -0.21) | 48.46% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.41% ( -0.19) | 70.59% ( 0.19) |
| Glenavon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.39% ( 0.24) | 38.61% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.65% ( 0.22) | 75.36% ( -0.22) |
| Linfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.23% ( -0.24) | 16.77% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.28% ( -0.44) | 46.72% ( 0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Glenavon | Draw | Linfield |
| 1-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 5.24% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.47% Total : 19.87% | 1-1 @ 11% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.98% Total : 23.13% | 0-1 @ 11.56% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 10.32% ( -0.08)1-2 @ 9.82% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 6.14% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 5.85% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.74% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 2.61% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 0.98% ( -0.03)1-5 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.01% Total : 56.99% |
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