SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 50.29%. A win for Crusaders had a probability of 25.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.71%). The likeliest Crusaders win was 0-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glentoran would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Glentoran | Draw | Crusaders |
50.29% ( -1.49) | 24.41% ( 0.5) | 25.3% ( 1) |
| Both teams to score 53.97% ( -0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.97% ( -1.25) | 48.03% ( 1.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.8% ( -1.16) | 70.19% ( 1.16) |
| Glentoran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.88% ( -1.06) | 19.12% ( 1.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.25% ( -1.78) | 50.75% ( 1.78) |
| Crusaders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.73% ( 0.17) | 33.27% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.11% ( 0.18) | 69.88% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Glentoran | Draw | Crusaders |
| 1-0 @ 10.52% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 8.71% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 5.28% ( -0.24)3-0 @ 4.8% ( -0.24)3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.18)4-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.17)4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.11% Total : 50.28% | 1-1 @ 11.58% ( 0.26) 0-0 @ 6.36% ( 0.32)2-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.41% | 0-1 @ 7% ( 0.39) 1-2 @ 6.37% ( 0.17)0-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.23)1-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.39% Total : 25.3% |
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