SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glentoran win with a probability of 79.02%. A draw had a probability of 13.8% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 7.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glentoran win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.19%) and 1-0 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.55%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 0-1 (2.51%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Glentoran would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Glentoran | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
79.02% ( 0.12) | 13.78% ( -0.07) | 7.19% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 45.07% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.65% ( 0.12) | 36.35% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.52% ( 0.13) | 58.48% ( -0.13) |
| Glentoran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.67% ( 0.05) | 7.32% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.52% ( 0.14) | 26.47% ( -0.14) |
| Dungannon Swifts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.63% ( -0.06) | 51.37% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.41% ( -0.04) | 85.59% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Glentoran | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
| 2-0 @ 12.85% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 11.19% ( 0.02)1-0 @ 9.84% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 7.46% ( 0)4-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 4.88% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 2.55% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0)6-0 @ 1.67% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.62% ( 0)6-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.66% Total : 79.01% | 1-1 @ 6.55% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3.76% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.62% Total : 13.78% | 0-1 @ 2.51% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.5% Total : 7.19% |
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