SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 36.69%. A win for Glentoran had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.9%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Glentoran win was 0-1 (10.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Linfield | Draw | Glentoran |
36.69% ( -2.39) | 27.7% ( 0.16) | 35.61% ( 2.23) |
| Both teams to score 48.71% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.88% ( -0.38) | 57.12% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.01% ( -0.3) | 78% ( 0.31) |
| Linfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.13% ( -1.6) | 29.87% ( 1.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.03% ( -1.97) | 65.97% ( 1.98) |
| Glentoran Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.46% ( 1.27) | 30.54% ( -1.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.23% ( 1.47) | 66.77% ( -1.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Linfield | Draw | Glentoran |
| 1-0 @ 11.02% ( -0.34) 2-1 @ 7.9% ( -0.32)2-0 @ 6.66% ( -0.52)3-1 @ 3.18% ( -0.28)3-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.34)3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.13)Other @ 2.4% Total : 36.69% | 1-1 @ 13.07% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.7% | 0-1 @ 10.82% ( 0.52) 1-2 @ 7.75% ( 0.3)0-2 @ 6.42% ( 0.52)1-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.22)0-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.29)2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.26% Total : 35.61% |
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